Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.665908 0.855883 1.069937 1.326108 1.621488 1.948668 2.335707
2025-07-06 0.377780 0.602556 0.890894 1.274558 1.758584 2.336639 3.066623
2025-07-13 0.226843 0.456368 0.791674 1.282689 1.950242 2.795475 3.915322
2025-07-20 0.134303 0.350311 0.711309 1.289554 2.128525 3.243129 4.776740
2025-07-27 0.071125 0.256497 0.617483 1.251440 2.230310 3.588995 5.521521
2025-08-03 0.035000 0.187935 0.539988 1.216758 2.323219 3.919204 6.254205
2025-08-10 0.017389 0.146258 0.495897 1.224020 2.472504 4.329689 7.107304
2025-08-17 0.006319 0.104946 0.434051 1.184356 2.537929 4.616328 7.794335
2025-08-24 0.002868 0.089431 0.426312 1.242792 2.764613 5.148022 8.842058
2025-08-31 0.000718 0.068959 0.394950 1.246544 2.895748 5.537754 9.695458
2025-09-07 0.000212 0.061886 0.400266 1.326964 3.163733 6.145973 10.881153
2025-09-14 0.000018 0.052662 0.393618 1.378939 3.382548 6.683411 11.974969
2025-09-21 NaN 0.041689 0.374861 1.402389 3.555232 7.161647 13.006140
2025-09-28 NaN 0.028725 0.336464 1.371141 3.622878 7.473972 13.798561
2025-10-05 NaN 0.021937 0.320138 1.391362 3.788589 7.950053 14.849175
2025-10-12 NaN 0.016231 0.302732 1.404691 3.940120 8.406051 15.877830
2025-10-19 NaN 0.009975 0.269875 1.367340 3.986005 8.685582 16.639861
2025-10-26 NaN 0.005732 0.240546 1.332036 4.031180 8.962876 17.402125
2025-11-02 NaN 0.003694 0.226625 1.340573 4.167426 9.398679 18.419806
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001681 0.199625 1.298749 4.191138 9.638411 19.131267
2025-11-16 NaN 0.001313 0.202645 1.361189 4.446557 10.290385 20.508746
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000655 0.190255 1.365296 4.571600 10.714400 21.528382
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000583 0.199221 1.450906 4.884691 11.479782 23.107063